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Posted: Tue Feb 27, 2007 1:45 pm
MARBLE JARS I
you are a prisoner in a foreign land. your fate will be determined by a little game. there are two jars, one with 50 white marbles, and one with 50 black marbles. at this point, you are allowed to redistribute the marbles however you wish (e.g. swap a black marble with a white marble, etc.): the only requirement is that after you are done with the redistribution, every marble must be in one of the two jars. afterwards, both jars will be shaken up, and you will be blindfolded and presented with one of the jars at random. then you pick one marble out of the jar given to you. if the marble you pull out is white, you live; if black, you die. how should you redistribute the marbles to maximize the probability that you live; what is this maximum probability (roughly)?
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Posted: Wed Feb 28, 2007 7:20 am
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Posted: Wed Feb 28, 2007 7:49 am
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Posted: Wed Mar 28, 2007 5:54 pm
you should make it to where there is a 50 50 chance domokun
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Posted: Thu May 03, 2007 8:33 pm
I think it should be a 75/100.
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Posted: Fri May 04, 2007 6:02 pm
Ahhh nice one kraken but I've seeen these before in my other guild the answer is: Keep both jars with the same amout of black and white jars because your captors would definatly choose the one with more black marbles so you die.
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Posted: Thu May 24, 2007 8:56 pm
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Posted: Mon Jan 28, 2008 12:26 am
... Samari ur a tard first your names misspelled second the answer is move ALL of the marbels into the SAME jar with ALL of the white on top after it is shaken up the chances will be 50/50 still (i cheated i have this same riddle in a riddle book i own so i looked at the back (lol) yes im still confused at how if all of the marbels are on top how are the chances still 50/50 plz post some kind of answer to that)
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